The District will remain breezy Sunday afternoon and evening. To conclude, this storm is a number of days away. However, differences remain in the various weather computer models on the exact track and strength of our system, and as a result, differ on just how much snow our region could get. It is figuring out how much that will give us the most trouble over the next few days. As a result, you only get lighter snow falling and amounts this far away from the storm, with the heavier amounts being more confined to southern Virginia.
Snow would initially start later on Saturday afternoon or into the evening hours with very light amounts as the storm system begins to strengthen. Another thing models are hinting at is that, much like the December 9th event in Virginia, they type of track models are suggesting with this storm would give the odds of highest and heaviest snowfall the farther south you go. The first camp is the one the local snow lovers would be rooting for. For all that we still are not too sure about with this system like who exactly will get what, there are some things worth mentioning that we are more confident it. Much like what happened last month on December 9th, the District has found themselves right on the edge of some significant snowfalls on a number of occasions over the past couple of years. Temperatures will mostly stay in the 60s on Sunday, but will trend warmer and dryer on Monday.
It is the track that would bring the risk for the more widespread, steadier snows to the region and consequently the higher snowfall totals. The previous two winters brought below normal, single-digit snowfalls to our region, along with numerous near misses. While we have been generally stuck in a warm pattern of late, there will be plenty of cold air around for the second half of the week as winter roars back into our area on the back of some very gusty winds the next couple days. Please be patient with your weather team, but know we will do our absolute best to keep you ahead of the storm. With several days left to go before the snow arrives, expect the numbers you see to jump around in the days ahead, as the models argue with themselves over the exact storm strength and track.
The first is that we will be cold enough for snow. It would make its closest pass to us on Sunday morning, which is when the bulk of the accumulations would occur, before pulling away on Sunday afternoon. The European model tends to be the favorite of the two among weather forecasters, as in skill testing it has consistently outperformed its American counterpart. As a result, you only get lighter snow falling and amounts this far away from the storm, with the heavier amounts being more confined to southern Virginia. If no connection is made, the result is a much weaker storm that takes a more easterly course instead of northeasterly. This is the opposite of what you might expect as most sizable storms in our region do see the heaviest snows north of town, but models would have to come into agreement on a more northern storm track for that to be the case here. There is the possibility for scattered thunderstorms Saturday afternoon and some of the storms could bring strong winds with them.
It still has the potential to a disruptive, midlevel event around here of course, but the storm of the century this is not. It shows both a stronger and more northern track to the storm system. There is a long list of reasons for this, but generally comes down to the European model being privately owned, funded, and maintained. Here is a crazy statistic for you. Since the winter of 2016-2017, Reagan National Airport has gotten 12. Weather by CustomWeather, © 2019 Note: Actual official high and low records may vary slightly from our data, if they occured in-between our weather recording intervals.
If no connection is made, the result is a much weaker storm that takes a more easterly course instead of northeasterly. . The second is what it will not be, a big blizzard. Scroll right to see more Conditions Comfort Time Temp Weather Wind Humidity Barometer Visibility 10:52 am Sun, May 5 66 °F Light rain. As of Wednesday morning, there are generally two camps that the models are falling into. Please upgrade your browser to improve your experience.
While there were some paths to that solution a few days ago, all models have trended away from anything close to that in our region. A few pockets of heavy rain are possible, and some of that could lead to spots of flooding. Now we should mention that this same model yesterday was only giving D. Undoubtedly there will be more changes in the days ahead, but at this time we still feel we have our best shot of the winter so far to pick up some measurable snow in the District. . . .
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